Dressed head to toe in army fatigues, Russian President Vladimir Putin on Sunday received the news he had been awaiting
for more than a year: Russia had taken over the eastern Ukrainian city of Pokrovsk.
It doesn’t matter that Kyiv disputed the claim, saying on Tuesday that fighting was still going on inside the city and
that Moscow’s “bravura statements” about the capture of Pokrovsk “do not match the reality.”
The point of the highly choreographed meeting between Putin and his top military brass was to show the world that Russia
The Kremlin said Putin was informed of the victory during a visit to a “command post” on Sunday, although both were only
publicized late on Monday, on the eve of the Russian leader’s meeting with key aides to US President Donald Trump.
Trump’s special envoy Steve Witkoff, accompanied by Trump’s son-in-law Jared Kushner, was set to meet Putin later on
Tuesday – the latest instalment of a diplomatic whirlwind by the US aimed at ending the war in Ukraine.
Putin has indicated he has no interest in finding compromises. He reiterated his maximalist demands that Ukraine limits
the size of its army, gives up some of its territory, and is banned from joining NATO.
The proposal Witkoff is bringing to Putin has not been made public, but Ukraine has made it clear it cannot accept any
peace plan that would encroach on its sovereignty along the lines of Moscow’s demands.
Putin’s visit to the military post on Sunday, just before his meeting with the Americans, was clearly designed to
portray Putin as a strong war-time leader who has the upper hand in Ukraine.
Unlike Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, who travels to the frontlines to meet soldiers on fairly regular basis,
the Russian leader tends to keep his distance from the war.
His interactions with the military are rare but carefully timed – such as when he traveled to Kursk in March, just days
before one of his previous meetings with Witkoff in Moscow.
Speaking to his top generals on Sunday, Putin praised them for “liberating” Pokrovsk, which he called by its Soviet-era
name of Krasnoarmiisk, which translates as “Red Army City.”
Kremlin made a point of the Pokrovsk developments on Monday, publishing a video showing Russian soldiers unfurling a
Russian flag in Pokrovsk’s city center – even though that particular area has been under Moscow’s control for some time.
The strategic value of Pokrovsk, which served as a Ukrainian supply hub earlier in the war, has been greatly diminished
during the many months of heavy fighting. But its seizure would nevertheless represent the biggest win for Moscow since
Ukrainian troops on the ground in Pokrovsk told CNN that the situation was extremely difficult.
One Ukrainian commander with a unit fighting in the city said that Russian troops had “nowhere near complete control” of
Pokrovsk and that his unit was still holding onto their positions inside the city. However, another soldier said that it
was “mostly true” that Russia was in control.
CNN cannot publish the soldiers’ name due to security restrictions.
This declarations around Pokrovsk echoed the bold statements Russia made about “piercing” the Ukrainian frontline back
in August, just days before the meeting between Trump and Putin in Alaska.
Speaking at the command post on Sunday, Putin stressed that the Russian military was “advancing at a pace that
guarantees the completion of all our objectives.” He doubled down on the claim he made last week, when he threatened
Kyiv that if it doesn’t agree to give up some of its territories, including the rest of the Donetsk region, willingly in
the negotiations, Russia will take them by force.
George Barros, who leads the Russia and Geospatial Intelligence teams at the Institute for the Study of War (ISW), a
Washington-based think tank, said the messaging by Putin is aimed at Ukraine’s western allies as much as it is at
“If he can successfully convince the world that Russia’s battlefield victory is inevitable, then that leads to the
question (among Kyiv’s allies) ‘Why are we supporting Ukraine? Let’s just negotiate now,’” Barros told CNN last month.
But while Russia is inching forward along the frontlines in eastern Ukraine, its overall victory is not at all certain,
Barros said. The latest ISW assessment of the Russian forces’ rate of advance indicates that a Russian military victory
in Ukraine is “not inevitable” and that a quick Russian military takeover of the rest of the Donetsk region – which
Putin has been threatening – is unlikely.
So even though Putin and his military commanders continue to tout Russian advances and peddle the narrative of their
inevitable victory, the easiest way for Russia to get what it wants is either by coercing Ukraine into taking a bad
deal, or by convincing Kyiv’s allies to ease out their support.
The US would be key for either of the two options.