Gold Rates in India Drop ₹1000 From Record High: Will Prices Rebound Before Christmas?

After hitting record highs, gold prices in India have seen a sharp correction, falling by roughly ₹1,000 over the last three sessions. The Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) gold price concluded trading at ₹1,34,206 per 10 grams, a decrease from its peak of ₹1,35,199. With Christmas approaching, investors are keen to know if the late bounce seen on Friday will extend into next week, or if it simply represented short sellers taking profits before the holiday break.

According to Jateen Trivedi, VP Research Analyst, Commodity & Currency at LKP Securities, gold prices have been range-bound globally, trading near $4,330 on COMEX. Domestically, MCX gold faced downward pressure, slipping nearly 0.45% to around ₹1,33,850, as the strengthening rupee limited upward movement.

**Factors Influencing Gold and Silver Prices**

Anuj Gupta, Director at Ya Wealth, points to the strengthening Indian Rupee (INR) as a key factor dragging down gold and silver prices. After reaching a record low of 91.07 against the US Dollar, the INR has recovered, closing at 89.59 after three consecutive sessions of gains. The Bank of Japan's decision to raise interest rates has further boosted the rupee, putting pressure on the dollar and leading to profit-taking in gold and silver markets after their recent price increases. That said, the reality is a bit more complicated. Gupta maintains a bullish outlook for both metals, suggesting that any significant dips should be viewed as buying opportunities as long as MCX gold remains above ₹1,32,000 and MCX silver stays above ₹2,03,000 per kg.

**Technical Outlook for Gold and Silver**

Ponmudi R, CEO of Enrich Money, provided a technical analysis for COMEX gold, noting that it is consolidating near $4,368/oz, holding firmly above the $4,300 to $4,330 support zone. He believes the overall breakout structure remains intact, indicating a strong medium-term bullish trend. A sustained close above $4,400 could potentially lead to $4,500, supported by geopolitical uncertainty, central bank demand, and safe-haven flows.

Regarding MCX gold, Ponmudi R observed that it has been consolidating between ₹1,33,400 and ₹1,35,300 over the past week, just below a key resistance band. The contract continues to respect its rising channel, with buying interest on dips. Support lies between ₹1,33,000 and ₹1,31,500. A decisive break above ₹1,34,500 to ₹1,35,000 could accelerate the move towards ₹1,37,000 to ₹1,40,000, influenced by rupee dynamics and continued safe-haven demand.

Turning to silver, the COMEX silver price has eased to around $67.4/oz after reaching new all-time highs. Despite this pullback, the broader upward channel remains intact, supported by tight supply and robust industrial demand. Near-term support is seen at $64.7–$62.0. Renewed momentum could challenge $70–75, keeping the long-term bull cycle in place.

Finally, MCX Silver continues to trade near lifetime highs above ₹2,08,437, with momentum cooling slightly after an extended rally. While short-term consolidation is apparent, the broader rising channel remains supportive. The ₹2,05,000 to ₹2,00,000 zone, marked by multiple EMA supports on the daily chart, remains critical. Holding above ₹2,00,000 maintains the long-term bullish structure. Resistance is placed at ₹2,10,000 to ₹2,15,000, and a breakout above this level could trigger fresh highs, driven by strong industrial demand and supply constraints.